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Capstone Trading

Trading System Signals on June 10, 2022 - Divergent Day trade Market on CPI


Consumer sentiment came out at it's lowest level ever.


The CPI data is at fresh new highs. The Peak inflation crowd has been wrong for awhile.


At the end of today's video we discuss some potential adjustments.


50K Portfolio 1 Micro SI 25 (LIVE) = -$900 200K Portfolio 6 Micro SI 25 (LIVE) = -$5,400


1 out of 5 S&P strategies were profitable 1 out of 8 Nasdaq strategies were profitable


2 out of 13 of our strategies were profitable today. One of our worse percentage winners performance.


We broke out of the range on CPI data but the intra-day price action was divergent, choppy, stop running price action. Most of the move down was overnight before we started trading since most of our strategies are day trade and CPI is released one hour before the day session open.


We are still up since the massive gains on May 26th and 27th and have hit an extreme level in stop running, low winning percentages, and slippage in some of the slopiest price action I have ever seen.


The dip buyers continue to create chop and prop up the market on a daily basis to make it look less worse than it really is. The Feds balance sheet hasn't moved so far this month. The Fed may hike 75 basis points now.


We go over the rationale for where we are in the drawdown if you look at the outliers.


We go over some potential adjustments for the portfolio and will be sending out the details and potential updates over the weekend.


Our live results in the 200K Portfolio are approximately +21% on the year. The drawdown starting on May 31st through today is about 12%.. The extreme chop with no intra-day trend has made the last 10 days very challenging.

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