Happy New Year! We are excited about the portfolio updates for trading in 2025 starting with tomorrow's session which begins at 6pm EST. We highlight the Stock Index Portfolio 24 and One Million MNS 87.
One of the extreme lessons we learned in 2024 was how all of the gains for an index (which implies best trading opportunities), can occur at night. As daytraders, that can be challenging. While this did occur in 2007 and while we have strategies that trade at night and have seen overnight trends over the years, we have had most of our successes during the day. We question the validity of the bull market trend based on this phenomenon, but we are mostly interested in seeking trading opportunities for 2025.
The updated portfolios are setup to trade strategies that are working now and strategies that are working in the past and consider the following:
1.) The current patterns continue with noise during the day and gains at night.
2.) Mean reversion in the form of gains occurring during the day instead of at night, or at least a higher percentage of gains intra-day, as the bull trend continues higher.
3.) Major mean reversion of the trend with the potential for a bear market or extended pullback.
The real trend in 2024 has been questionable from a technical perspective since most of the volume is during the day and the major gains in the indexes were at night. It is possible we just had a yearlong divergence in the stock indexes and Q1 of 2025 will provide some "truth". It is also possible that we could get a parabolic move higher if there is some "catching up" for the bull market during the day session. Either scenario is ideal for short term traders. If the current trend continues, or any of these scenarios happens, we have the set of strategies to start Q1 2025.
The latest portfolios and the Portfolio Calculator have been updated through 12/31/2024.
The Stock Index Portfolio 24 can be leased for E-minis or Micros. The One Million MNS is part of the All Strategy Access.
Stock Index Portfolio 24 Hypothetical Performance Summary
7 E-mini S&P
11 E-mini Nasadaq
3 Gold
3 Bitcoin
Both One Million MNS 87 Portfolios are shown below. We will start with the One Million MNS 87 and sync up with the One Million MNS 87 + 2 NQ Overnight Strategies + 3 Bitcoin Strategies when the risk is more favorable. The second portfolio combination provides for greater opportunities in the overnight session but is near an equity peak.
One Million MNS 87
Hypothetical Performance Summary
One Million MNS 87 + 2 NQ ON + 3 BTC
Hypothetical Performance Summary
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